Devils win lottery, will probably get another Kovalchuk


First, a reminder. To enter the predictions contest, please use the earlier contest thread. Thank you.


So the Devils won the draft lottery. Note that the last five times a team other than the last-place team won the lottery, the No. 1 picks were Patrick Kane, Alex Ovechkin, Marc-Andre Fleury, Rick Nash and Ilya Kovalchuk. The one prior to that was Rick DiPietro. And the one before that was traded by Chicago, ultimately, to the Rangers, who selected Pavel Brendl.

From the NHL:


NEW YORK (April 12, 2011) — The New Jersey Devils, who had only a 3.6% likelihood of prevailing, won the National Hockey League Draft Drawing tonight and gained the fourth overall drafting position for the 2011 NHL Entry Draft, June 24 and 25 at Xcel Energy Center in St. Paul, Minnesota. The Edmonton Oilers retain the first overall selection in the Draft.

This marks the first time the Devils have won the Draft Drawing. At No. 4, they hold their highest selection since claiming defenseman Scott Niedermayer third overall in 1991.

The Devils would have picked eighth based on inverse order of regular-season finish. They had been accorded only 36 of the 1,001 possible numbered sequences assigned under the lottery system. Fourteen balls, numbered 1 to 14, were placed in a lottery machine. The machine expelled four balls, forming a series of numbers. The four-digit series was matched against a probability chart that divided the possible combinations among the 14 participating clubs. The chart showed that the Devils had been assigned the numbers (3-8-9-13) that were expelled.

Only the five teams with the fewest points had the chance to win the first overall selection; no team could move up more than four spots and no team could move backward more than one. Thus the Devils moved up the maximum number of positions, from eighth to fourth.

The order of selection for the first 14 drafting positions in the first round, only, of the 2011 Entry Draft is as follows:

1. Edmonton Oilers
2. Colorado Avalanche
3. Florida Panthers
4. New Jersey Devils
5. New York Islanders
6. Ottawa Senators
7. Atlanta Thrashers
8. Columbus Blue Jackets
9. Boston Bruins (from Toronto)
10. Minnesota Wild
11. Colorado Avalanche (from St. Louis)
12. Carolina Hurricanes
13. Calgary Flames
14. Dallas Stars

The remaining positions will be determined by results of the 2011 Stanley Cup Playoffs.

The Draft Drawing is a weighted system to give the teams that finished with the fewest points during the regular season the greatest chance of having their combination selected. The Edmonton Oilers finished the regular season with the fewest points in the League (62) and were assigned the greatest number of combinations, representing a 25% likelihood that their combination would emerge. Colorado was assigned 18.8% of the combinations, followed by Florida (14.2%), NY Islanders (10.7%) and Ottawa (8.1%). The remaining teams had the following chances: 6.2%, 4.7%, 3.6%, 2.7%, 2.1%, 1.5%, 1.1%, 0.8% and 0.5%.

The 2011 NHL Entry Draft will take place at the Xcel Energy Center in St. Paul, Minnesota. The first round will take place on Friday, June 24 commencing at 7 p.m., ET, and the subsequent rounds (two through seven) will begin at 11 a.m., ET, on Saturday, June 25.

Results of Previous Draft Drawings

Year        Selected        Effect On Draft Order        Player Selected

1995        Los Angeles        Moved from 7th to 3rd        D Aki Berg
1996        Ottawa        Retained 1st selection        D Chris Phillips
1997        Boston        Retained 1st selection        C Joe Thornton
1998        Tampa Bay        Moved from 3rd to 1st via trades        C Vincent Lecavalier
1999        Chicago        Moved from 8th to 4th        RW Pavel Brendl *
2000        NY Islanders        Moved from 5th to 1st        G Rick DiPietro
2001        Atlanta        Moved from 3rd to 1st        LW Ilya Kovalchuk
2002        Florida        Moved from 3rd to 1st        LW Rick Nash **
2003        Florida        Moved from 4th to 1st        G Marc-Andre Fleury ***
2004        Washington        Moved from 3rd to 1st        LW Alex Ovechkin
2005        Pittsburgh        n/a        C Sidney Crosby
2006        St. Louis        Retained 1st selection        D Erik Johnson
2007        Chicago        Moved from 5th to 1st        RW Patrick Kane
2008        Tampa Bay        Retained 1st selection        C Steven Stamkos
2009        NY Islanders        Retained 1st selection        C John Tavares
2010        Edmonton        Retained 1st selection        LW Taylor Hall
2011        New Jersey        Moved from 8th to 4th

* NY Rangers obtained Chicago’s pick in a trade (via Vancouver and Tampa Bay). The Rangers selected RW Pavel Brendl fourth overall.

** Columbus obtained Florida’s pick in a trade. The Blue Jackets selected LW Rick Nash first overall.

*** Pittsburgh obtained Florida’s pick in a trade. The Penguins selected G Marc-Andre Fleury first overall.

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  1. New Post!? Somebody alert Eddie! No one told him! He hasn’t returned yet….what if no one tells him and he is lost forever!?

  2. Who cares about the first pick? Look at these nobodies? Stamkos? Ovechkin? Tavares? Kane? Nasher? Come on!

  3. Such horse manure!

    I don’t like the way the draft works.

    The way I would do it..

    30th place team automatically gets 1st overall pick

    29th to 26th battle it out for picks 2 to 5

    And 25th to 1st battle for the remaining picks

    Just pick fuggin names out of a hat!

  4. Gonna go on record right now- anyone on the Rangers roster that isn’t a rookie and who doesnt show up for this series should probably be considered expendable.

  5. they “won” but they didn’t score the number one pick
    so unless the oilers don’t pick the next TGO or…we’ll see.

  6. with the number “X” pick the rangers select Alexander khokhlachev.

    thats all i wanna hear on draft day.

  7. ORR!!!

    you forget that the draft lottery came about due
    to the “great” pens which tanked its season in order
    to draft mario

    of course, the pens “tanked” post-mario seasons
    in order to bring in crosby, malkin, fleury…..
    and got another batch of top players thanks to the jagr
    but no one, particularly canadian media, bother to recall that.

  8. hello ilb thanks for the birthday wishes!

    hes a big center who has been over here getting used to the ice size already and has no desire to play in the khl. in 67 games w/ the spitfires he has 76 points. hes an ok play maker but he is a great finisher. buries every chance he gets it seems. and hes a center, lol.

  9. Wow Flordia couldve had Nash and Fleury in back to back drafts but traded them away ??

    We should all be grateful at least Slats is a good trade maker. He wouldve been tarred and feathered for those moves in back to back drafts

  10. happy bday tr!

    and a belated one to all those i missed
    and an early one to all those i’ll miss in the

  11. been checking Hockey Rodent’s site
    and surprised to find that he
    hasn’t put up anything since friday.

    was curious what he had to say about
    win against devs and playoffs.

    oh well…….hope all is well.

  12. Huge Wussyman---your '03 1st round pick on

    Getzlaf and Perry? haha, I went first ! I am the Sally Field of hockey. “they took me, they really, really took me”

  13. “Yes, John Tortorella can be volatile, as a saturated Caps fan in the 100 level found out in 2009. But he can also be a damn good coach when it comes to manipulating the lineup and getting his team to commit to his system.” – Puckdaddy
    One of the reasons I love Torts and scorn the Torts haters….

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