OK, your turn

22

Update: These responses are tremendous — all very insightful. In fact, I’m beginning to think I’m no longer necessary around here. Either way, keep them coming. Meanwhile, the Rangers had their second day at Lake George today, and both defenseman Michal Rozsival and goaltender Kevin Weekes skated a full practice. Just in time…

I’m going to be out of pocket until tomorrow, but I’m going to throw this out to you educated and devoted readers in the meantime:

 Where do the Rangers finish this season? If they make the playoffs, how far do they go?

The more specific, the better. I don’t have any prizes in mind, but maybe I’ll think of something for the reader who comes closest — perhaps one of the 16 broken hockey sticks I have in my basement.

 Until then….

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22 Comments

  1. 6th in the Conference
    2nd in the Division
    1st Round exit from the playoffs

    While my love for the Rangers is as strong now as it ever was, I still don’t feel they’ve made the proper adjustments. Offense was strong last year, but aside from Roszival and Lundqvist, they still needed more from than their defense. Kasper doesn’t look strong, Strudwick is gone, Sandis is done. Aaron was a good swap for Poti, but its not enough. Hopefully Sather will use his cap room wisely.

    Love the blog guys!
    -Rich

  2. Patrick Hoffman on

    A Strong Current: An Atlantic Division Preview
    By Patrick Hoffman

    The 2005-06 National Hockey League season saw three teams in the Atlantic Division place in the top 10 in the league, three teams amass at least 100 points and featured candidates for the Hart (Jaromir Jagr), Jack Adams (Tom Renney) and Vezina trophies (Henrik Lundqvist and Martin Brodeur). The division featured superstar youngsters such as Pittsburgh Penguin phenom Sidney Crosby, Devils winger Brian Gionta and Rangers rookie winger Petr Prucha. Hockey pundits wonder what the Atlantic division has in store for us this year and just looking at the way things are setup, it looks like the same three teams that dominated the division last season, the New Jersey Devils, Philadelphia Flyers and the New York Rangers, will continue to do so during the 2006-07 NHL campaign.

    Many hockey/sports publications have picked the New York Rangers to win the division this season and with good reason. The Rangers improved their roster during the off-season by picking up skilled free agents in Brendan Shanahan, Matt Cullen, Aaron Ward, adding a solid scoring winger in Adam Hall and resigning Jaromir Jagr’s Czech mate, Martin Straka. With these moves, the Rangers have added a more formidable scoring punch to ease some of the burden off of Jagr’s shoulders and have also added a defenseman that is reliable, a good shot-blocker and someone who has won the Stanley Cup with both the Detroit Red Wings and last year’s champion Carolina Hurricanes. All of these acquisitions to go along with a superstar goaltender between the pipes in Henrik Lundqvist, depth forwards in Michael Nylander, Petr Prucha and Jason Ward and solid defenseman in Marek Malik, Michael Rozsival and Darius Kasparaitis, provides the Rangers with a really solid roster going into the new season.

    While this roster certainly has the talent and depth to be the best team in the Atlantic, it will not be an easy task. One cannot forget about the New Jersey Devils, a team that reeled off an incredible 15-game winning streak at the end of the season to not only grab the division title, but also sweep the Rangers right out of the playoffs in the first round. The Philadelphia Flyers also pose as a threat with the likes of Peter Forsberg and Simon Gagne. The Pittsburgh Penguins will also look to make some noise this year as Crosby looks to continue to put points up on the board while newcomer Evgeni Malkin looks to make his mark in the NHL in his rookie season. The New York Islanders will just try to prove to everyone that they are not a joke and that should be used as motivation to get their club back afloat.

    Now, let’s take a closer look at these teams that the Rangers will have to fight off if they want to win the division this year.

    New Jersey Devils

    Though General Manager Lou Lamoriello is still trying to figure out a way to resolve his teams’ current salary cap problem, the Devils will still be a tough team to play against. New Devils coach Claude Julien will certainly have his hands full if the team manages to lose some of its top players such as Brian Gionta, Scott Gomez or Brian Rafalski (all rumors as of press time) but he still has top forward Patrick Elias, a tough, rugged defenseman in Colin White and of course, future Hall of Fame goaltender Martin Brodeur. With the team getting ready to play in a new arena in the next few seasons, look for the Devils to try and get some new fans by playing tough, competitive hockey all season long.

    Offense

    Most hockey analysts figured that the Devils would have trouble scoring goals without Patrick Elias in the lineup for half the season but as it turned out, the Devils received had an incredible 1-2 scoring punch in Brian Gionta and Scott Gomez. Gionta led the team with 48 goals, 10 of which were game-winners while Gomez scored 33 goals. However, there are rumors circulating the hockey world that the Devils could lose one of these forwards in order to help resolve the teams’ salary cap problems. If that happens, the Devils will need Elias to be the 40-goal man that he is capable of being and will need some scoring from Jamie Langenbrunner, sophomore Zach Parise and defenseman Paul Martin, who has the potential to be a dangerous power play quarterback.

    Defense

    Fortunately for the Devils, Colin White signed a long-term deal with the club and should be a strong, physical presence on the blueline. Brian Rafalski led all Devils defensemen in scoring last season with 49 points and will most likely do the same this season as he moves the puck well and sees lots of time on the power play. Sophomore defenseman Paul Martin was second in scoring for Devils defenseman behind Brian Rafalski with 37 points. Martin, who also eats up a lot of ice time on the Devils power play, is quickly becoming one of the NHL’s best defenseman and has the potential to be a top-scoring defenseman in the league.

    Goaltending

    After a slow start and some problems adjusting to the new rules, Martin Brodeur went onto win over 40 games (43) once again while posting 2.57 goals against average and a .911 save percentage. He was one of the main reasons that the Devils got so hot towards the end of the season to help them clinch the Atlantic division. Look for him to play between 55-70 games once again.

    The backup goaltending duties for the Devils belong to Scott Clemmensen, as he won three games, had a 3.35 goals against average and posted a .881 save percentage last season. With Brodeur playing the majority of the games, do not expect Clemmensen to see too much playing time this year.

    Philadelphia Flyers

    With Forsberg feeling strong and healthy and with Gagne and Flyers coach Ken Hitchcock back in the fold, one would think that the Flyers would be set to go. However, bad luck continues to haunt the Flyers as they appear to have lost starting goaltender Antero Niittymaki for up two months after he tore his left labrum during practice on September 26th. What will the Flyers do now? Will they stick with former playoff hero Robert Esche and 21-year old Martin Houle or will they go after an experienced goaltender such as a Sean Burke or Brian Boucher? As of press time, that question has yet to be answered.

    Offense

    The Flyers’ offense appears to be set. With Forsberg healthy, Gagne resigned and a resurgent Mike Knuble on board, the Flyers should have no problem putting the puck in the net during this upcoming season. The team will also look to sophomore Jeff Carter, who scored 23 goals as a rookie last season, to help provide some balance to the teams’ offense. However, if the team wants to be a consistent offensive threat, they will need more scoring from their defensemen.

    Defense

    Ken Hitchcock is known for putting in a defense-first style of hockey and that will continue to be the philosophy of this hockey club as long as Hitchcock is at the helm. Joni Pitkanen really made his presence known as top offensive blueliner last season as he posted 46 points to lead all Flyers’ defenseman in scoring. Some of the scoring slack will be picked up by Freddy Meyer, as he racked up 27 points in 57 games for the Flyers. After realizing that his blueline lacked toughness, Flyers GM Bob Clarke went out and got Denis Gauthier in the middle of last season, as he should continue to be a physical force along with Derian Hatcher on the Flyers blueline.

    Goaltending

    There always seems to be some kind of goaltending problem in Philly and this year is no different. As mentioned earlier, started Niittymaki could be lost for up to two months after tearing his left labrum in practice. This hurts the team after Niittymaki had such a strong season with the club last year. Niittymaki was spectacular in a 17-consecutive start stretch dating back to late December into January and he used that momentum to win 23 games and post a goals against average of 2.97 and a save percentage of .895. To top it all off, he was a Silver medalist and a tournament MVP in the 2006 Olympics in Turin. Hopefully, he’ll be in top form when he returns to the ice in the next two months or so.

    For now, the Flyers will have to rely on Robert Esche. Last season, Esche won 22 games, had 2.97 goals against average and a .897 save percentage. In the beginning of the season, Hitchcock gave Esche the opportunity to be the number one guy but Esche never seemed to be able to take control. The question is will Esche be able to take control this season? Only time will tell.

    Pittsburgh Penguins

    It is a whole new world in Pittsburgh this season. The Pens’ have a new general manager in Ray Shero, Mario Lemieux has retired once again and another new star player is ready to be born in the NHL as Evgeni Malkin gets ready to take the stage in four to six weeks after dislocating his shoulder in a pre-season game. This season also marks the return of superstar Sidney Crosby, coming off a 102 point rookie season and ready to make even more noise this year. Is this a playoff team? Not yet. However, this club could turn things around this season and give us a glimpse of what they could be in the future.

    Offense

    It is expected that the Pens’ offense will be led by Crosby and Malkin, once he returns from injury. After those two guys, the Penguins will look to depth players such as Mark Recchi, John LeClair, Nils Ekman, Ryan Malone and Colby Armstrong to help contribute to the offense this season. What will also help the Penguins offense is if defensemen Sergei Gonchar and Ryan Whitney, coming off of 58 and 38 points respectively, can continue to produce from the blueline.

    Defense

    The Penguins defense has been horrendous for the past four years. However, once coach Michel Therrien came in, a new defensive system was put in place and the Pens’ started to play a bit more responsibly in their own zone. Shero wants this team to develop a system of smart-defensive hockey. As part of the development process, Shero went out and picked up free agent defenseman Mark Eaton, who had been a top penalty killer with the Nashville Predators. Hopefully, Gonchar and Whitney can pick up where they left off last season and help bring stability to the Pens’ defense.

    Goaltending

    The time is now for Penguins young phenom goaltender Marc-Andre Fleury to become the go-to man in net. The 21-year old played in 50 games last season and put up respectable numbers for the worst defensive teams in the NHL, as he posted a 3.25 goals against average and a .898 save percentage. This kid has great athleticism, an abundance of side-to-side quickness and a drive to put the Penguins back on the map.

    The backup goaltender for the Pens is Jocelyn Thibault. He was a free agent flop for the hockey club as he went 1-9 in 16 games for his club while posting a 4.46 goals against average and a .876 save percentage. What the Pens could use is a solid veteran presence in net but that has yet to be seen down in PA.

    New York Islanders

    Things are certainly sinking on the Island as the club had a whirlwind summer. First, the hiring then firing of new general manger Neil Smith. After that, former Islanders’ backup goaltender Garth Snow was hired to be the gm of the struggling franchise. Close to two months after that, the Islanders resigned goaltender Rick DiPietro to a 15-year deal. Hopefully, the team can start winning some games under new head coach Ted Nolan or else the Islanders can be found at the bottom of the Atlantic, no pun intended.

    Offense

    Ted Nolan wants his hockey club to be an attacking team this season. Last season, the Islanders were tied with the Boston Bruins for fewest goals scored in the Eastern Conference (230 goals, 2.80 goals per game). Leading the Islanders offense were Alexei Yashin (68 points), Miroslav Satan (66 points) and Jason Blake (57 points). The Islanders were look to newcomer Mike Sillinger, who scored 32 goals last season, to help take some of the scoring pressure off of Yashin and Satan.

    Defense

    If the Islanders are to have any success this season, their defense must be better than it has been over the past couple of seasons. During the off season, the team went out and signed Brendan Witt, who will help to provide a physical force in front of the Isles net. The team also signed former New York Ranger heavily booed defenseman Tom Poti, who the Isles will look to provide some much needed offense on the blueline. Rounding out the defense are Alexei Zhitnik, Radek Martinek and a few youngsters who are looking to solidify spots on the team this year.

    Goaltending

    The first overall pick in the 2000 NHL entry draft and new 15-year man for the Islanders has yet to find his niche out on the Island. While winning 30 games and posting a goals against average of 3.02 and a respectable save percentage of .900, Rick DiPietro has yet to excel as the Islanders starting goaltender. He has been unable to provide his hockey club with a consistent regular season and he still has some trouble positionally. If he wants to prevent further embarrassment of his team, he will need to have a strong regular season and try to push his club into the playoffs, certainly no easy task.

    As of now, the role of backup goaltender will be between Wade Dubielewicz and former Devil, Ranger and Thrasher goaltender, Mike Dunham. Dubielewicz won two games last season but look for him to get in more games this year if DiPietro or potentially Dunham cannot give the Islanders want they want: solid goaltending

  3. Yesterday I read about Larry Brooks predicting the Rangers to win another Cup ! As I don´t think that it was meant as serious, I see the Rangers better than last year.

    They will reach the playoffs ranked third in the Division to beat the Carolina Hurricanes in six games to play the Ottawa Senators in the second round! There I fear they will loose in six games !

    Obviously no one of the beat writers travelled to the Sagamore to be at the pulse of the team, as I have found out from the website, there were still some rooms available at this nice resort:)..Steve Zipay sounded that he got mailed that the Rangers were kajaking and having a team dinner at the Lake George last night only reporting from the postgame out of Banknorth Garden at Boston !!!!

    Probably a good opportunity to work on some surprising line combos to surprise all experts on Thursday:)

  4. They won’t sneak up on anyone this year and will be a better team for the long run even if their record isn’t as good. No Olympics to compress the schedule and drain everyone’s tanks. I’d say something around 40-45 wins would be a great season. I’ll say that should be good for sixth to eighth in the conference and I’d be pleased with a couple of playoff wins, perhaps a single series win.

    Sam: for those of us outside the tri-state area, your blog is a real gem. Keep up the good work. Now for you: How will the Cats fare this year in Hockey East?

  5. 43-31-8 = 94 points
    3rd in the division
    7th in the conference

    First round win in 6
    Second round lose in 6

  6. I see the Rangers finishing about where they ended up last season. I like their depth at all three forward positions and by adding Shanahan, the Rangers gave their offense a boost–perhaps that will take some weight off of Jagr’s surgically-repaired shoulder. They’ll be a good on special teams, too. However, their defense just isn’t physical enough to make this team a legitimate Cup contender, and with the exception of Roszival, they aren’t that good with the puck. If Kasparitis is going to continue his tentative play when the regular season starts, it’ll really hurt the team. Getting rid of Ozolinsh sometime during the season will be “addition by subtraction.” Thank f*** they signed Aaron Ward.

    While the team won’t suffer from any hangover effects from the Olympics this year, their schedule is no picnic. Lack of offseason transactions and salary-cap struggles aside, the Devils still have the core of their team together and they’re an absolute bitch of an opponent. Everyone is saying that the Flyers are too old and too slow–that’s what everyone said last year, yet they were battling for the Atlantic division title all year. Pittsburgh won’t be the conference doormat any more–that dubious distinction will go to the Islanders, but unfortunately, anything can happen in Rangers-Isles rivalry games. That’s half a schedule of tough division games right there.

    My prediction: 2nd in the East (Philly 1st and Devils 3rd), 5th in the conference, a tough loss to #4 Buffalo in the first round. :(

  7. I actually think the Rangers are as good or better than anyone else in their division and conference. If they come to play every night, like they did last year, they’ll be in the thick of it, no question. While the Devils definitely went on a nice run at the end of the year, a significant amount of that was fueled by an exhausted, drained, depleted and collapsing Ranger team. I don’t think the Devs are the team that stunk so badly in the first half of the year, but I also don’t think they’re the powerhouse that rattled off a huge streak at the end of the year. Somewhere in the middle. Their offense is not terribly balanced, their defense is nowhere near where it was in the late 90’s/early 00’s and Broderu remains as solid as ever.

    Philly will never win until they get a real goalie – despite having had Bernie Parent backstop his team to 2 Cups, Clarke hasn’t figured that out. Their team is also slow and lumbering on defense, and thin on scoring after line #1. Will Richards and Umberger be able to shoulder some additional load?

    Pittsburgh still remains a team of a few great young players. They’re a long way from respectability. The Isles aren’t even worth mentioning.

    Really, the Rangers have every reason to be preseason favorites to win the division. I’d like them better if Jagr had a real finisher like Dawes on his line instead of having 2 setup guys – Jagr passes as well or better than he scores – and if they are able to use Hall and Immonen to get some third line scoring punch. And the defense remains somewhat soft – Kasparaitus and Rachuinek, penciled in as regulars before camp, have looked terrible. I’d much rather see Baranka in there, though Im not sure about Pock yet. Still, Hank in goal is formidable and will steal many games.

    I think it depends on Renney. If he paces his troops, rests Hank enough this year, doesn’t overplay Jagr and Shanny and Culen, then the Rangers will finish second in the division, fourth in the Conference but lose in the Conference finals. If he doesn’t they will win the division but bow out in round one or two. While I should know better, Im going to have faith and go with the former. And as a caveat, I for one won’t be the least bit surprised if they make the finals and win the Cup.

  8. Okay Sam, you said you want to hear more response and keep them coming and that is exactly what I do from a perspective from overseas. So I apologize for any mistakes which can occur from time to time for someone who can´t be so close to the action at the Broadway and don´t have the sources :)

    Due to the fact that we have a public holiday today in Germany ( reunification from west and east Germany happened to be on October 3rd!) I have some more time to think about the Rangers..

    Well, seriously I think a lot of the Rangers´success next year depends on the defense !

    Can Hendrik Lundqvist return to the form he showed during the regular season, will Kasparitis return to the level he showed last season overcoming his injuries, can Malik and Rozsival the same steady duo as last season and will Aaron Ward still have the same kind of impact that he had on the Hurricanes winnig team of last year ? After my opinion the Rangers still lacking a big powerplay specialist playing the point like Brian Leetch did a couple of years ago. I have no hope that guys like Sandis Ozolinsh ( just a shadow of his winning days with the Avalanche !) and Karel Rachunek ( who said at once he doesn´t like New York at all) can fill this void.. The defensemen don´t chip with to much points on the offensive part of the game….

    The Blueshirts have lost Steve Rucchin, Petr Sykora and Martin Rucinsky as big names and acquired Brendan Shanahan, Matt Cullen, Adam Hall. I need to ask the same question concerning to Ward to Cullen as well. Can Adam Hall withstand the much higher pressure on Broadway in contrast to a low market team like Nashville and can Shanny return to the form scoring 25 or 30 goals a season helping out on the powerplay and tutoring kids like Dawes, Prucha or Imonnen ( I would really have seen Brandon Dubinsky instead of Marcel Hossa on the opening line up from what I hear from you guys !!). Can Martin Straka overcome his goal scoring droughts from time to time and will Michael Nylander start to shoot on goal instead of overpassing too much, what I could read from a lot of recaps in the last season. Can a second line of Prucha, Cullen and Shannahan a successful combination to carry the load from big line with Straka, Nylander and Jagr ????

    And that leads to the most important question mark for next season:

    Can the guy from Kladno/Czech Republic No. 68 stay healthy the whole season with his shoulder, can he reach again 90 or 100 points this season as well and can he overcome the fact he lost two members of his Czech speaking fraction in Rucinsky and Sykora. I think a lot of the Rangers success last season was built on the Czech community in the locker room, that JJ felt very comfortable to drink a crucevice ( note: a well tasty Czech beer) instead of Budweiser :)

    And let´s not forget when the Rangers think about winning a Cup , that they are still in a rebuilding phase and it went quite well last season so much metter than the previous seasons at all. I can really can recall times during my extensive trips through the west in 2000 and in the east in 2003 when a lot of other fans smiled at me when I had donned my Rangers cap in Dallas, LA or San Jose, or later in Montreal or Toronto. So what a great improvement last year that the Rangers would not longer be called the laughingstock of the league…:)

    So go step by step, slight improving from one year to the next and in maybe two or three years Lord Stanley will show up again at the world famous arena called Madison Square Garden….!!!!

  9. The only thing you can typically predict with predictions, is that you’ll be wrong. But hey, it’s the eve of another NHL season and we’ve got nothing to lose.

    Looking at the Rangers, we see several players who had career years last season, including Nylander, Rozsival and Cullen as well as returns to form from Straka, Jagr and Shanahan after some seasons of lesser performances.

    The odds are generally against these guys repeating their successes of last year, particularly for some of the older guys.

    The challenge for the Rangers is who will step up like Prucha and Lundqvist did last year, and will the Rangers be willing (or able) to find those younger players to help augment what is likely one of the older top six forwards in the league.

    In terms of defense, there are still plenty of questions over who will provide the offense from the blueline. The Rangers have not seen any real offensive success back there during the preseason, particularly from Pock and Rachunek, two players they probably expected to see something from.

    Then you can take a look at the other teams in the East…

    For the most part the weaker teams appear to be improving going into this season. Also-rans Atlanta and Florida look like teams on the up and could well challenge for playoff spots, while Boston remains a complete unknown with a largely rebuilt roster.

    Buffalo, New Jersey, Philadelphia, Ottawa and Carolina all look like good bets to return to the playoffs again this year, and Montreal and Tampa Bay have certainly the ability to challenge too.

    Even teams like Pittsburgh and the Islanders can make some waves with young contributors and/or new/newish coaching and management.

    Ultimately I think the Rangers take the 6 spot, just missing out on the home-ice advantage. I think the Northeast will again have the most depth, the Southeast will be stronger and the Atlantic will be a little more even than last year.

    Lundqvist will surpass Jagr as the key to the Rangers success this year, and I hope also that we’ll see the “changing of the guard” for a couple of positions, including perhaps seeing Dawes work his way onto the Jagr line and one or two of the younger defensemen replacing the veteran laden (though hardly remarkable) line-up that they have now.

    In terms of the playoffs I think they’ll lose again in the first round, but they’ll make it more interesting with a 4-2 series loss.

  10. i don’t think the Isles will be as bad as everyone thinks ..

    I think they could be this years Ragners — they have a good D, the possibility of a break-out year for DP – and added offense .. and NO EXPECTATIONS!

  11. I disagree with most of these posts. I think everyone is taking the perspective that we’re still underdogs. Everyone seems so shaky about the Rangers and that they’ll barely make the playoffs. We’re not the team we were last year. Yes, we’re still rebuilding, but at this point last year, we were definitely worse off. If Jagr doesn’t perform as well as last year, who cares, we just added Hall, Cullen, and Shanny to take the load off his shoulders, not to mention great rookies to spice it up. If injuries dont plague the team, then there’s no doubt in my mind that the Rangers will easily win the division. I see them playing the Ducks or the Flames in the Stanley Cup finals. And after that, I’ll see you in Manhattan for the Victory Parade.

  12. Anthony (the other one) on

    Sam –

    OK, I’ll get to the predictions in a minute, but how the @#%& did the NHL let Lou Lamoriello get away with clearing both Malakhov and Mogilny off his cap number?

    It’s not just that I want to see the Devils crushed under the league’s boot and spread in the wind due to last year’s first round spanking (and I do… oh, lord I do).

    It’s this: If the NHL has any hope of having the league’s GMs take the cap as anything more serious than a 16 year old takes his curfew, there need to be repercussions to actions that run counter to the CBA.

    Now the whole concept of a ‘cap’ looks like even more of a sham than it did a year ago. As long as you can shuck and jive your way under the league’s definition of a salary cap by opening night – no harm no foul!

    GOD I HATE THE DEVILS…

    OK – prediction time:

    Rangers will finish second in the division, fourth in the conference… behind the Devs, who will finish third.

    First round win in 7 against the Sens (because, really, who can’t beat the Sens in the playoffs?)

    Second round win in 6 against the Thrashers

    Lose in the Eastern Conference Finals in 5 to the Buffaslugs

  13. Rangers will sneak into the playoffs as a 6-8 seed and get bounced in Rd 1.

    Reason? Because Tom Renney will overplay his big guns (again) and they’ll have nothing left at the end of the season. He won’t have provided meaningful minutes to the young kids who could provide scoring help. Because for some odd reason he believes that Hossa is an NHL-caliber player. Because Roszival and Malik are NOT a #1 defensive pairing on a serious playoff contender.

    If Lundqvist gets hurt, they don’t even make the PO’s.

  14. Rangers will finish second in Atlantic div.

    Fifth in Eastern Conf.
    ———————————

    I will hold playoff predictions until later

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